巨灾险

YEAR2012HURRICANEPREDICTION(FORECASTVS.CLIMATOLOGY)

LANDFALLPREDICTIONS

PROBABILITIESFORATLEASTONEMAJOR(CATEGORY3-4-5)

HURRICANELANDFALLONEACHOFTHEFOLLOWING

COASTALAREAS:

1.EntireU.S.coastline–42%(averageforlastcenturyis52%)

2.U.S.EastCoastIncludingPeninsulaFlorida–24%(averageforlastcenturyis31%)

3.GulfCoastfromtheFloridaPanhandlewestwardtoBrownsville–24%(averageforlast

centuryis30%)

PROBABILITYFORATLEASTONEMAJORCATEGORY3-4-5)

HURRICANETRACKINGINTOTHECARIBBEAN(10-20°N,60-88°W)

1.34%(averageforlastcenturyis42%)

2WillisNorthAmerica 04/12